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Central Asian countries underestimate the situation that could unfold in Afghanistan by 2014 after withdrawal of American troops, political analyst and orientalist Rassul Zhumaly told Tengrinews.kz. According to Zhumaly, the hostile forces (Talibs), that Kazakhstan artificially set against itself by taking the lead from the U.S. and NATO, will be possibly aimed against Central Asia, especially against its weakest countries: Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. “This is a huge threat to the regional security. What we need here is not building bridges with Talibs, but somehow preparing for the challenge and getting to control this situation. The most important is to make no more mistakes like the one we made in spring, when we wanted to send our experts to Afghanistan,” Zhumaly said. Besides, he reminded that back in 2001, having faced the threats from Talibs for the first time, some countries started negotiating with them, some Islamic countries even recognized Talibs as a power. Troops of the international anti-terrorist coalition are to be withdrawn from Afghanistan by 2014. Considering the necessity to stabilize the country's economy, military and interior forces, the expert does not preclude that the United States will need more time and the withdrawal process will last longer. Zhumaly thinks that in the end Talibs will come to power in Afghanistan in the form of one of the brands of the national liberation movement. The ruling Talibs will represent all the organizations that unite opposition against NATO. “But we shouldn't be altogether negative about them (Talibs), as there are positive aspects. For example, when Talibs got to power in the country in 1996, the civil war stopped until 2001. Crime level decreased and the country stopped being the source of heroin,” he said. Political analyst also talked about Kazakhstan Jamoat militants who fight in Afghanistan. “It is no secret that many of our students and young people cross the borders and reach Afghanistan or Caucasus. Many of them have settled there. Some of them also use Afghanistan as a training base. But in general their goal is to come back home. Sooner or later they will connect with extremist underground of Kazakhstan, that exists in the country and tends to expand,” Zhumaly said.
Central Asian countries underestimate the situation that could unfold in Afghanistan by 2014 after withdrawal of American troops, political analyst and orientalist Rassul Zhumaly told Tengrinews.kz.
According to Zhumaly, the hostile forces (Talibs), that Kazakhstan artificially set against itself by taking the lead from the U.S. and NATO, will be possibly aimed against Central Asia, especially against its weakest countries: Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan.
“This is a huge threat to the regional security. What we need here is not building bridges with Talibs, but somehow preparing for the challenge and getting to control this situation. The most important is to make no more mistakes like the one we made in spring, when we wanted to send our experts to Afghanistan,” Zhumaly said.
Besides, he reminded that back in 2001, having faced the threats from Talibs for the first time, some countries started negotiating with them, some Islamic countries even recognized Talibs as a power.
Troops of the international anti-terrorist coalition are to be withdrawn from Afghanistan by 2014. Considering the necessity to stabilize the country's economy, military and interior forces, the expert does not preclude that the United States will need more time and the withdrawal process will last longer.
Zhumaly thinks that in the end Talibs will come to power in Afghanistan in the form of one of the brands of the national liberation movement. The ruling Talibs will represent all the organizations that unite opposition against NATO.
“But we shouldn't be altogether negative about them (Talibs), as there are positive aspects. For example, when Talibs got to power in the country in 1996, the civil war stopped until 2001. Crime level decreased and the country stopped being the source of heroin,” he said.
Political analyst also talked about Kazakhstan Jamoat militants who fight in Afghanistan.
“It is no secret that many of our students and young people cross the borders and reach Afghanistan or Caucasus. Many of them have settled there. Some of them also use Afghanistan as a training base. But in general their goal is to come back home. Sooner or later they will connect with extremist underground of Kazakhstan, that exists in the country and tends to expand,” Zhumaly said.
