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Experts forecast tensions in Central Asia in 2012 05 января 2012, 14:37

Possibility of further increase in conflicts and tensions in 2012 remains high in three Central Asian states: Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.
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Uzbek soldiers secure a street near the prison in Andizhan. ©REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov Uzbek soldiers secure a street near the prison in Andizhan. ©REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov
The possibility of further increase in conflicts and tensions in 2012 remains high in three Central Asian states: Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, CA-NEWS reports citing the International Crisis Group (ICG). Experts have tagged the political system of these states corrupt. Besides, according to the ICG, infrastructure of these countries is “close to collapse” and the population has no access to many social services. The analysts note that relations between Tashkent and Dushanbe are “at the record low level”, which poses a threat for Tajikistan’s safety. According to the experts, arguments between the two countries on water issues and fatal border conflicts may “spark deep violence”. The ICG also notes that the threat of conflicts remains high at the south of Kyrgyzstan that faced ethnic conflicts last year. The threat of tensions will remain high in Afghanistan as well. A conflict is possible between Iran and Israel, they say.

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