Replacement of Senate Speaker may be sign of power succession in Kazakhstan17 october 2013, 15:56
Replacement of the Senate Speaker might be a step towards a mechanism to facilitate power succession in Kazakhstan, Dosym Satpayev, a Kazakhstan’s political analyst, said in an interview for Tengrinews.
He stressed that in line with the country’s Constitution, the Senate Speaker holds the second position in the power hierarchy after the country’s President. In case of a force majeure the Senate Speaker is the one to assume the duty of securing stability in the country. Therefore any replacements in this position are of certain interest.
On October 16 Kassym-Zhomart Tokayev became the country’s Senate Speaker. Suggested by President Nazarbayev, his candidacy was unanimously supported by the Senators.
“The replacement is of special interest against the backdrop of various speculations over power succession in Kazakhstan. I am confident the replacement will be considered by some analysts as a step towards a mechanism to secure power succession, a prep step towards certain political schemes to secure a smooth transformation of power. Given that the Constitution envisages a key role for the country’s Senate Speaker, reappearance of Kassym-Zhomart Tokayev is of interest”, Mr. Satpayev believes.
Kassym-Zhomart Tokayev. ©Reuters
According to him, it is important to remember that Mr. Tokayev has already been Senate Speaker, that is this position is not new for him. “He has a relevant experience. He has been holding a conventional, peaceful stance; he is known for his attempts to act as a moderator among elite groups; he has never actively supported any of the groups. The only exception took place in the early 2000s when Mr. Tokayev, the then Prime Minister, opposed a group of business elite that later on formed the opposition movement titled Democratic Choice of Kazakhstan. However, usually he has abstained from intervening into tensions and clashes among powerful groups surrounding the Head of State”, Mr. Satpayev believes.
According to Mr. Satpayev, the fact that Mr. Tokayev has been working abroad for a while shows that he has been trying to say away from power battles.
“This might be the reason why the President decided to bring him back. Mr. Tokayev is not excessively ambitious; at the same time he is loyal to the President. Having a predictable Senate Speaker is of importance to the President at the moment”, Mr. Satpayev stressed.
Many are expecting clear signals from President Nazarbayev of what Kazakhstan will be like in the transit period, what political institutes will be the pillars. The Parliament should be considered as a serious player, according to Mr. Satpayev.
The outgoing Senate Speaker Kairat Mami has been appointed to chair the Supreme Court.
“Kairat Mami has come back to something he did before. There is a trend towards public officials taking on duties they once performed. His appointment to the position was not a surprise. Neither was that of Mr. Tokayev. Both have come back to jobs they did. Legislature and judicial system are their respective realms”, Mr. Satpayev summed up.
Dossym Satpayev. ©Tengrinews/Yaroslav Radlovskiy
By Asemgul Kassenova